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Read previewEstonia has been "seriously" discussing sending troops to Ukraine in roles positioned away from the front lines, per a national security official. Advertisement"Discussions are ongoing," Roll told Breaking Defense. Breaking Defense reported that Roll made these comments on Friday, just days after the country's defense chief, Gen. Martin Herem, told the outlet that Estonia had internally talked about sending troops to Ukraine. Related storiesEstonia is one of the geographically closest NATO members to Russia, with an eastern border shared with the Russian regions Pskov and Leningrad. AdvertisementThat's about 1.6% of its total GDP, more than any other nation that has supplied Ukraine with aid.
Persons: , Madis, it's, Roll, Martin Herem, Herem, Emmanuel Macron, Ingrida Šimonytė Organizations: Service, Defense, Business, Atlantic Treaty Organization, Breaking Defense, NATO, Lithuanian, Financial Times, Kyiv, Kiel Institute Locations: Estonia, Ukraine, Russia, Pskov, Leningrad, Ukraine Tallinn, Baltic States, NATO, Kyiv, Europe, Finland
The five-month, 28% sprint from the October correction low to the record high on the last trading day of the first quarter left the S & P 500 overbought, overheated and over-loved. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500, YTD So far, so good, three weeks down and now three weeks up, taking the S & P 500 back to within 1% of its March 28 peak. More specifically, he tracks the correlation between S & P 500 and the Citi Economic Surprise Index. Fidelity Investments head of global macro Jurrien Timmer fashioned this look at the path of S & P 500 earnings heading into and through each calendar year, with 2024 holding up better than 2023 was last year at this time. The last time the S & P 500 was at today's level above 5200 in late March, the 12-month forward price/earnings multiple was 21.
Persons: that's, Jerome Powell, Scott Chronert, It's, Powell, Lori Calvasina, we've Organizations: U.S, Bank, Citi, Citi U.S, Fidelity Investments, Treasury, RBC Capital
CNBC's Inside India newsletter: A disconnected stock market
  + stars: | 2024-05-10 | by ( Ganesh Rao | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +5 min
CNBCThis report is from this week's CNBC's "Inside India" newsletter which brings you timely, insightful news and market commentary on the emerging powerhouse and the big businesses behind its meteoric rise. For local investors, Indian stocks would have underperformed the U.S. benchmark by more than 45 percentage points since Buffett's 2008 bet. It appears that India's near 8% GDP growth isn't transforming into stock market returns. But that has also meant significant competition for the incumbents, many of which are listed on the stock market. This year has also been particularly unlucky for Indian stock market investors thanks to the uncertainty added by politics.
Persons: Warren Buffett, it's, Jonathan Pines, Federated Hermes, Rajeev Agrawal, Agrawal, Narendra Modi's, Kevin Carter, Buffett, Carter, Modi, Narendra Modi, Amit Shah, Virat Kohli, Rajat Patidar Organizations: Berkshire, CNBC, BSE, Federated, DoorDarshi Advisors, Narendra Modi's BJP, India, Ecommerce, One97 Communications, Ujjivan Financial, BJP, Russia, Indian, Ukraine, India's Central Bureau of Investigation, Indian Premier League, Wednesday, Royal Challengers Bengaluru Locations: Omaha , Nebraska, Omaha, BSE India, India, United States, Gandhinagar Lok Sabha, Russia, Mumbai, Punjab Kings
The Dow Industrials represent the productive capacity of the economy, as its original focus was on the goods-producing sector. Over recent decades, the 30-stock Dow Industrials has been expanded to include important tech, telecom and services companies. The Dow Transports, whose constituents move goods and passengers across the country and around the globe, represent final demand. .DJI .DJT YTD line The Dow Industrials vs. Dow Transports in 2024 At the moment, the divergence is relatively mild. The Dow Theory might still have the benefit of experience and wisdom.
Persons: Dow Industrials, that's, it's, Ron Insana Organizations: Dow, Dow Jones Industrial, Dow Jones Transportation, Dow Transports, Transports, Utilities, Dow Theory, Federal Reserve, CNBC Locations: U.S
But for the [utilities] to rally this long, sorry, it is flashing red for the economy, telling us we're headed into the shoals of a slowdown." The average is made up of 15 major utilities stocks and has been climbing since April 16, finishing Wednesday up 0.54%. These stocks do well in a slowdown because they are not discretionary—consumers must pay their utilities bills, he said. Cramer reaffirmed his stance that signs of a slowing economy have been cropping up over the last several weeks, and this rise in utilities only furthers that theory. "At the end of the day, the [utilities], they never lie," Cramer said.
Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, we're, Cramer, Jerome Powell's, Jay Powell, he's Organizations: Dow
US President Joe Biden speaks about his Investing in America agenda at the Wilmington Convention Center in Wilmington, North Carolina, on May 2, 2024. President Joe Biden is set to meet Tuesday afternoon with a slate of executives from a variety of industries, some of which have been the targets of his regulatory agenda. The guest list includes United Airlines CEO Scott Kirby, Citi CEO Jane Fraser, Evercore founder and senior chairman Roger Altman, Marriott International CEO Anthony Capuano, Flex CEO Revathi Advaithi, Bechtel Group CEO Brendan Bechtel, former Xerox CEO Ursula Burns and Corning CEO Wendell Weeks, according to a White House official. Biden is planning to discuss his "strategy of investing in America and rebuilding international alliances," the official said in a statement. And as part of a broader siege against what Biden calls "junk fees," the White House has issued rules prohibiting certain fees from airlines and credit card companies.
Persons: Joe Biden, Scott Kirby, Jane Fraser, Roger Altman, Anthony Capuano, Revathi Advaithi, Brendan Bechtel, Ursula Burns, Corning, Wendell Weeks, Biden Organizations: Wilmington Convention, United Airlines, Citi, Marriott International, Flex, Bechtel, Xerox, White, Federal Trade Commission, Department Locations: Wilmington, Wilmington , North Carolina, America
A coming recession could end up sparking a "violent correction" in stocks, Gary Shilling told BI. The top forecaster pointed to warning signs of a downturn, such as a weaker job market. AdvertisementInvestors should be prepared for a recession with the potential to send the stock market plummeting this year, according to top forecaster Gary Shilling. That could be the final blow to the stock market rally fueled by investor overconfidence, causing stocks to drop by as much as 30%, Shilling said. Related storiesThe job market, for one, is "obviously slipping" as firms pull back on hiring, Shilling said.
Persons: Gary Shilling, , overconfidence, Shilling, we've, we're Organizations: Service, Business, Wall, Employers, San Francisco, Treasury
CNBC's Jim Cramer on Friday guided investors through the upcoming earnings-packed schedule on Wall Street, saying to focus on reports from companies such as Uber , Disney and Warner Bros. Since April's labor report was weaker than expected, he said investors can worry less about the Federal Reserve's next move. Monday brings earnings from Simon Property Group and Tyson Foods , the latter of which Cramer said he thinks could be a "bounce-back play." Wynn Resorts and Reddit also release earnings that day, and Cramer said he thinks both could put up solid numbers. Cramer will be paying attention to Uber's report on Wednesday, saying he wonders whether its earnings will be hurt by competition from Lyft .
Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, Cramer, Warren, Reddit, Airbnb, Robinhood Organizations: Disney, Warner Bros ., Federal, Berkshire Hathaway, American Express, Apple, Cola, Occidental Petroleum, Simon Property, Tyson Foods, Wynn Resorts, Lyft, Toyota, AMC Entertainment, Warner Bros, Discovery, National Basketball Association, Akamai Technologies, Federal Trade, Capri, Enbridge
President Joe Biden said on Wednesday that "xenophobia" from China to Japan and India is hobbling their growth, as he argued that migration has been good for the U.S. economy. President Joe Biden said on Wednesday that "xenophobia" from China to Japan and India is hobbling their growth, as he argued that migration has been good for the U.S. economy. "One of the reasons why our economy's growing is because of you and many others. Because we welcome immigrants," Biden said at a Washington fundraising event for his 2024 re-election campaign and marking the start of Asian American, Native Hawaiian and Pacific Islander Heritage Month. "Why is China stalling so badly economically, why is Japan having trouble, why is Russia, why is India, because they're xenophobic.
Persons: Joe Biden, Biden Organizations: Pacific Islander Heritage, Immigrants, Monetary Fund Locations: China, Japan, India, U.S, Washington, Hawaiian, Russia
Every weekday the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer holds a "Morning Meeting" livestream at 10:20 a.m. "That's a win for stocks," Jim Cramer said Thursday. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER .
Persons: Jim Cramer, Jerome Powell, should've, Jim, — Stanley Black, Decker, Linde, TJX, Jim Cramer's Organizations: CNBC, Federal, Fed, Coterra Energy, Apple, UBS, TJX Companies, LIN Locations: China, TJX, HomeGoods
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBitcoin and ether drop as investors question the U.S. economy's strength: CNBC Crypto WorldCNBC Crypto World features the latest news and daily trading updates from the digital currency markets and provides viewers with a look at what's ahead with high-profile interviews, explainers, and unique stories from the ever-changing crypto industry. On today's show, Anthony Georgiades, general partner at Innovating Capital, discusses investor sentiment in the midst of uncertain U.S. economic data.
Persons: explainers, Anthony Georgiades Organizations: CNBC Crypto, CNBC, Innovating
It's a week jam-packed with notable events, including earnings from Apple , Amazon and Eli Lilly . He also said to pay attention to Wednesday's Federal Reserve meeting and Friday's employment figures from the Department of Labor. "We have to run such a ridiculous gauntlet next week that I have no idea how it'll play out," he said. Wednesday also brings reports from Wingstop , Carvana and Marriott . Apple will report on Thursday, and Cramer noted there's been a lot of negative sentiment from investors surrounding the company.
Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, Eli Lilly, Jensen Huang, Cramer, it's, he'll, Seagen, there's Organizations: Apple, Federal Reserve, Department of Labor, Nvidia, Food and Drug Administration, Starbucks, CVS, Pfizer, Amazon, Walgreens, Marriott, Vision Locations: It's, China, Wingstop, Carvana
CNBC's Jim Cramer on Thursday said companies that perpetually generate "self-help" are poised to do well in this market. In other words, they find ways to grow and perform well despite what might be happening in the broader economy. "When we're looking for reasons to buy a stock in this environment, we want companies that generate constant self-help. This kind of "self-help" may be the "antidote" to the big-picture worries weighing on the market, Cramer said. "It takes a special kind of stock to do well when the economy's slowing while inflation just won't quit," he said.
Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, that's, Chipotle, Thursday's, Cramer
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via Email'Not that concerned' about inflation getting back to Fed's 2% target, says Moody's Mark ZandiMark Zandi, Moody's Analytics chief economist, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss if the economy's performing 'too well', how Zandi expects inflation to play out, and more.
Persons: Mark Zandi Mark Zandi
Hard-to-handicap geopolitical conflict never helps, even if it rarely serves as the key swing factor in a market trend. .SPX 1Y mountain S & P 500, 1-year And then there was simply the elevated valuation and over-optimistic sentiment that had built up over that five-month, 28% rally that culminated at the end of March. Over the long span of time, about 40% of all 5% market pullbacks deepened into full 10% corrections. A 10%-ish correction from the S & P 500 high of 5254 would pull the index down below 4800, the former record high from early 2022, and so would be a test of the first-quarter breakout. Last week's 3% decline took the index back to Feb 21 and thereby closed the "Nvidia gap," the 100-point S & P 500 pop the day after Nvidia's blowout fourth-quarter earnings report.
Persons: Warren Pies, Jerome Powell Organizations: Nasdaq, 3Fourteen, Nvidia, Big Tech, Treasury, Silicon Valley Bank Locations: Silicon
Heightened tensions in the Middle East, including the possibility of Iran attacking Israel, sent stocks back down and oil prices higher. If the choice is between a weak economy with lower rates or a strong economy with higher rates, we'll take the strong economy every time. Low rates may help with valuation multiples, but it's a strong economy that leads to earnings growth and that's what we, as long-term investors care about. Shelter costs are a major sticking point for overall inflation, which makes Tuesday's housing starts and building permits report a key watch item. We'll get another look at housing with the release of the March existing home sales report on Thursday.
Persons: we've, we'll, Morgan Stanley, Wells, bode, we're, Goldman Sachs, Charles Schwab, Johnson, ERIC, JB Hunt, Kinder Morgan, DR, Ally, Huntington, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Abbott, Ethan Miller Organizations: Dow Jones, Wednesday, Federal Reserve, Abbott Labs, Cardiovascular Systems, Diagnostics, Procter & Gamble, Constellation Brands, Procter, T Bank, Bank of America, Bank of New York Mellon, BK, PNC Financial, PNC, Ericsson, United Airlines, Interactive, ASML Holdings, US Bancorp, Citizens, Alcoa, CSX, Discover Financial, Nokia, Alaska Air, Blackstone BX, McLennan, Netflix, PPG Industries, Gamble, Financial, American Express, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Las Vegas Convention, Getty Locations: Iran, Israel, China, Marsh, Las Vegas , Nevada
Evercore ISISurprisingly strong economic growth will fuel a 5.5% year-over-year jump in corporate earnings this quarter, according to Evercore. That would be well above analysts' consensus of about 3% but below the nearly 8% growth rate in Q4. 8 stocks set to outperform soonThough US stocks broadly may be in for a rough ride, stock-pickers shouldn't get too worried. To help with the search, Emanuel and company highlighted eight stocks set to outperform during the Q1 earnings season. Below are the eight companies listed in alphabetical order along with their ticker, market capitalization, sector, expected earnings release date, year-to-date earnings revision, and expected earnings growth rate relative to their sector peers.
Persons: , Julian Emanuel, Emanuel, recalculate, Evercore, Emanuel's, didn't, shouldn't, Zscaler Organizations: Service, ISI, Business, PPG Industries
India's central bank held its key interest rate for a seventh straight policy meeting on Friday as growth in the economy is expected to remain robust while inflation stays above the 4% target. The six-member monetary policy committee kept the main lending rate at 6.5%, in line with expectations. While low core inflation provides comfort, the uncertainty on food inflation remains a worry. "While low core inflation provides comfort, the uncertainty on food inflation remains a worry," said Upasna Bhardwaj, chief economist at Kotak Mahindra Bank. "The increasing incidence of climate shocks remains a key upside risk to food prices," the rate setting panel said in its monetary policy statement.
Persons: Shaktikanta Das, Das, Upasna Bhardwaj, Devendra Kumar Pant Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty, Kotak Mahindra Bank, U.S, NSE, BSE, Research Locations: India
About 45% of changes to S&P 500 analysts' earnings estimates are upgrades, as shown in the chart below, down from 50% in early 2023. AdvertisementSociete GeneraleHistorically, analyst optimism has been a good indicator for the economy's direction. Below is the S&P 500's year-over-year percentage change along with the analyst optimism measure. He says the S&P 500 is in a bubble fueled by AI optimism and could fall as much as around 60%. He sees potential downside of 39% for the S&P 500.
Persons: , Albert Edwards, Edwards, Powell's, Ed Yardeni, Let's, There's, Jeremy Grantham, David Rosenberg, Merrill Lynch Organizations: Service, Societe Generale, Business, Street, Nasdaq, Generale, Conference, Institute for Supply, subsiding, Fed, repo, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Bears, Rosenberg Research, policymaking
Spencer Platt | Getty ImagesThe stock market could hit a milestone if the Dow Jones Industrial Average reaches 40,000. However, even as stocks have climbed higher, investors are worried there could be a pullback, financial advisors say. For investors who have gravitated toward cash, certificates of deposit, or bonds, a pullback may be an opportunity to deploy those funds in the market, Kourkafas said. "The stock market is a long-term investment," said Jenkin, who is also a member of CNBC's Financial Advisor Council. That may be done through a fund that reflects global market capitalization, such as the Vanguard Total World Stock ETF.
Persons: Spencer Platt, They're, Christine Benz, Angelo Kourkafas, Edward Jones, Kourkafas, it's, Ted Jenkin, Jenkin, Joe Biden, Donald Trump —, Louis Barajas, Barajas, Morningstar's Benz, Benz Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Getty, Dow Jones, CNBC, Morningstar, CNBC's, Council, Investors, International Private Wealth, CNBC FA Council Locations: New York City, Atlanta, Irvine , California, U.S
Russian central bank governor Elvira Nabiullina has played a key role in stabilizing Russia's sanctions-hit economy. It's also aimed at the woman behind him: Elvira Nabiullina, the country's central bank governor, who plays a chief role in keeping Russia's wartime economy ticking. At the time, she was the first woman to lead a Group of Eight, or G8, central bank. In 2015, Euromoney, a finance trade publication, named Nabiullina Central Bank Governor of the Year. In December, she issued a warning that Russia's economy was at risk of overheating.
Persons: Elvira Nabiullina, , Putin, It's, Nabiullina, Daniel McDowell, McDowell, wined, Christine Lagarde, Nabiullina —, Richard Portes, Portes —, Portes, Anders Åslund, Åslund, Leo Tolstoy, Fyodor Dostoevsky, Franz Kafka, Yaroslav Kuzminov, Kuzminov, Nabiullina's, Alan Harvey, Herman Gref —, Central Bank Governor Elvira Nabiullina, Maxim Shemetov, Michel Camdessus, she's, isn't, Sergei Aleksashenko, Alexei Makarkin, Vladimir Pesnya, Nabiulina, let's Organizations: Ukraine, Service, Russian, KGB, Syracuse University, Kremlin, International Monetary Fund, US, London Business School, Moscow Times, Bloomberg, Higher School of Economics, , Moscow State University, SNS, USSR, Industrial Union Board, Gref, Central Bank Governor, Nabiullina Central Bank Governor, Banker, Central Banker, IMF, Monetary Fund, Financial Times, Government, Political Technologies, Wall Street Journal, RBC, Politico Europe Locations: Russian, Ukraine, Russia, Brussels, Nabiullina, Swedish, Moscow, Ufa, Central Russia, Tatars, Crimea, Euromoney, Europe, steadying
Wall Street is getting nervous about Tesla
  + stars: | 2024-04-02 | by ( Dan Defrancesco | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +7 min
In today's big story, we're looking at why Wall Street is getting nervous about Tesla . South China Morning PostEarnings season is approaching, and Wall Street's already ringing the alarm on a high-profile company. AdvertisementTesla won't report its full earnings until later this month, but Wall Street is preparing for trouble. One analyst called it a "nightmare" quarter for the company, while another firm labeled Tesla "a growth company with no growth." One strategy is getting more Tesla drivers subscribed to its Full Self-Driving software, which can run $199 monthly.
Persons: , Wall, Insider's Beatrice Nolan, Tesla, It's, that's, Elon Musk, ANDERSEN, Alyssa Powell, Donald Trump's, Ken Griffin's, Claire Merchlinsky, MoviePass, Ted Farnsworth, Manoj Bhargava, Putin, Elvira Nabiullina's, Forbes, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, George Glover Organizations: Service, Business, Tesla, China, Bloomberg, Nvidia, Meta, Microsoft, Apple, Getty, BI Trump Media, SEC, Citadel, BI, Street Journal, Authentic Brands, Energy, Bank of Russia, The Locations: China, Russia's, Connecticut , Delaware , New York, Rhode Island, Wisconsin, New York, London
After-tax profits hit a record high of $2.8 trillion in the fourth quarter, per the Commerce Department. "The gangbuster gain in profits helps explain why businesses have been able and willing to hold the line on layoffs, which was key to avoiding recession," he said. Advertisement"It also helps explain the record stock market, and the resulting positive wealth effects and resilient consumer spending." Related storiesAs for stocks, they're generally valued at a multiple to company profits so they've hit record highs too. That has made stockholders feel wealthier and more comfortable spending, Zandi said.
Persons: , Mark Zandi, That's, Zandi Organizations: Service, Corporate America, Corporations, Commerce Department, Business, Federal Reserve, Companies
Dollar steady as PCE data sets up June rate cut bets; yen in focus
  + stars: | 2024-04-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The dollar was broadly steady on Monday as data showing easing U.S. prices bolstered bets that the Federal Reserve could cut interest rates in June, while the yen loitered near 152 per dollar keeping traders on edge on the threat of intervention. The dollar was broadly steady on Monday as data showing easing U.S. prices bolstered bets that the Federal Reserve could cut interest rates in June, while the yen loitered near 152 per dollar keeping traders on edge on the threat of intervention. The report also showed consumer spending rising by the most in just over a year last month, underscoring the economy's resilience. The yen touched a 34-year low against the dollar of 151.975 on Wednesday and was last at 151.315 per dollar, a shade stronger, on Monday. In other currencies, the Australian dollar rose 0.21% to $0.654, while the New Zealand dollar was 0.20% higher at $0.599.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Sterling, Shunichi Suzuki, bitcoin Organizations: Federal, Commerce Department's, Reuters, Traders, Citi, Japan, Bank of Japan, Ministry of Finance, Financial Services Agency, New Zealand Locations: Japan
“There are,’’ the Bank of England warns, “more consequences from falling prices than meets the eye.’’What could be so bad about lower prices? It is only now emerging from decades of falling prices that began with the collapse of its property and financial markets in the early 1990s. Mainly because falling prices tend to discourage consumers from spending. Why buy now, after all, if you can purchase what you want — cars, furniture, appliances, vacations — at a lower price later? If consumers were to pull back, en masse, to await lower prices, businesses would face intense pressure to cut prices even more to try to jump-start sales.
Persons: they're, that's, what's, Joe Biden's, ’ ’ Lisa Cook, , United States hasn’t, Tom Krisher Organizations: WASHINGTON, Federal Reserve's Board of Governors, Bank of England, United, España, Unemployed, Bank of Japan, Fed, Bank for International, AP Locations: America, United States, Japan, Spanish, Detroit
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